3QFY2019 Result Update | Consumer Durable
February 16, 2019
Amber Enterprises India Ltd
BUY
CMP
`637
Performance Update
Target Price
`910
(` cr)
3QFY19
3QFY18
% yoy 2QFY19
% qoq
Investment Period
12 months
Revenue
388.8
338.4
14.9
226.3
71.8
Stock Info
EBITDA
22.1
24.1
(8.2)
8.9
148.9
Sector
Consumer Durable
OPM (%)
5.7%
7.1%
3.9%
Market Cap (` cr)
2,002
Reported PAT
3.9
0.1
3123
-1.8
(320.0)
Net Debt (` cr)
-62.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
Beta
0.9
For 3QFY2019, Amber Enterprises Ltd (Amber) posted a decent set of numbers
52 Week High / Low
1200/630
given muted demand environment and significant cost pressures. Revenue grew
Avg. Daily Volume
12,500
by 14.9% yoy to `338.8cr. On the bottom-line front, Amber reported PAT of
Face Value (`)
2
BSE Sensex
35,809
`3.9cr against `0.1cr despite cost pressures.
Nifty
10,724
Growth led by AC Components Division: The company’s top-line grew by 14.9%
Reuters Code
AMBER.BO
yoy to `338.8cr on the back of strong volume growth. Growth was led by strong
Bloomberg Code
AMBER.IN
performance of the AC Components division which accounted for 8.8% of
revenues in Q4FY19 as compared to 5.9% of revenues in Q3FY18. Growth in the
Shareholding Pattern (%)
air conditioner segment was sluggish due to weakness in overall demand and
Promoters
44
therefore its contribution dropped to 78.4% of revenues from 80.9%. Non AC
MF / Banks / Indian
33
FII / NRIs / OCBs
11
components contributed to 12.8% of revenues as compared to 13.2% of revenues
Indian Public/Others
12
in Q3FY18.
Margins Impacted Due to Cost Pressures: On the operating front, the company’s
Abs.(%)
3m
1yr
3yr
gross margins declined by 160bps to 14.1% due to cost pressures. EBITDA
Sensex
1.6
4.4
52.0
margins also declined by 130bps yoy to 5.7%. However lower interest outgo an
Amber
(25.9)
(44.6)
-
stable tax rates led to increase in PAT from Rs. 0.1cr to Rs. 3.9cr.
Outlook and Valuation: We expect Amber Ltd. to report net profit (reported)
CAGR of ~35.5% to ~`114.4cr over FY2018-20E on the back of topline growth
of 19.4% in the same period. Post the 3QFY19 numbers, we maintain BUY on the
stock with a revised target Price of `910 (25xFY20E).
Historical share price chart
Key Financials
1,400
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019E FY2020E
1,200
Net sales
1,651.9
2,128.1
2,500.5
3,034.7
1,000
800
% chg
51.7
28.8
17.5
21.4
600
Adj. Net profit
25.2
62.3
89.1
114.4
400
% chg
4.5
147.4
43.1
28.4
200
EBITDA margin (%)
7.9
8.6
7.5
7.5
0
EPS (`)
8.0
19.8
28.3
36.4
P/E (x)
79.5
32.1
22.5
17.5
P/BV (x)
6.0
2.2
2.1
1.9
Source: Company, Angel Research
RoE (%)
7.5
7.0
9.2
10.8
RoCE (%)
13.3
13.5
12.8
14.9
Amarjeet S Maurya
EV/Sales (x)
1.4
0.9
0.7
0.6
022-40003600 Ext: 6831
EV/EBITDA (x)
17.5
10.4
9.6
7.8
[email protected]
Source: Company, Angel Research Note
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
1
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Exhibit 1: 3QFY2019 Performance
Y/E March (` cr)
3QFY19
3QFY18
% chg. (yoy)
2QFY19
% chg. (qoq)
9MFY19
9MFY18
% chg
Net Sales
389
338
15
226
71.8
1,217
1,231
(1.1)
Net raw material
334.0
285.3
17.1
186.1
79.5
1022
1034
(1.2)
(% of Sales)
85.9
84.3
161
82.2
368
84.0
84.0
Employee Cost
10
9
5.4
10
1.2
29
28
6.0
(% of Sales)
2.5
2.8
(23)
4.3
(176)
2.4
2.2
Other Expenses
23
20
15.9
22
5.7
80
67
19.6
(% of Sales)
5.9
5.8
5
9.6
(368)
6.5
5.4
Total Expenditure
367
314
16.7
217
68.7
1,131
1,129
0.2
Operating Profit
22
24
(8.2)
9
148.8
86
102
(16.1)
OPM (%)
5.7
7.1
(143)
3.9
176
7.1
8.3
(126)
Interest
3
17
(79.2)
3
5.5
9.6
39.4
(75.6)
Depreciation
12
11
11.3
12
(0.8)
36.5
31.9
14.6
Other Income
0
4
(93.0)
3
(89.9)
4.1
7.8
(47.3)
PBT before exceptional
7
0
1,352.2
(4)
(269.1)
44
39
12.5
(% of Sales)
1.7
0.1
(1.7)
3.6
3.2
Exceptional Items
-
PBT
7
0
1,352.2
(4)
(269.1)
44
39
12.5
Tax
3
0
708.6
(2)
(228.6)
12.9
10.8
19.2
(% of PBT)
42.4
76.1
55.7
29.4
27.8
Reported PAT
4
0
3,400.0
(2)
(320.0)
31
28
10.0
PATM
1.0
0.0
(0.8)
2.5
2.3
Extra-ordinary Items
Adj PAT
3.85
0.11
3,400.0
(1.75)
(320.0)
31
28
10.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
February 16, 2019
2
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Profit & Loss Statement
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019E
FY2020E
Total operating income
1,089.0
1,651.9
2,128.1
2,500.5
3,034.7
% chg
-11.5
51.7
28.8
17.5
21.4
Total Expenditure
975.3
1,521.3
1,944.5
2,313.0
2,807.1
Raw Material
858.5
1,371.2
1,768.8
2,125.4
2,579.5
Personnel
36.5
43.7
49.8
50.0
60.7
Others Expenses
80.3
106.5
125.9
137.5
166.9
EBITDA
113.7
130.5
183.5
187.5
227.6
% chg
10.9
14.8
40.6
2.2
21.4
(% of Net Sales)
10.4
7.9
8.6
7.5
7.5
Depreciation& Amortisation
30.9
40.1
49.0
51.2
54.3
EBIT
82.9
90.4
134.5
136.3
173.3
% chg
7.6
9.1
48.8
1.3
27.2
(% of Net Sales)
7.6
5.5
6.3
5.5
5.7
Interest & other Charges
53.2
63.5
53.8
18.8
21.7
Other Income
3.1
8.8
8.7
10.5
12.6
(% of Sales)
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.4
Extraordinary Items
-
-
-
-
-
Share in profit of Associates
-
-
-
-
-
Recurring PBT
32.7
35.7
89.4
127.9
164.2
% chg
-19.0
9.2
150.4
43.1
28.4
Tax
8.6
10.5
27.1
38.8
49.8
PAT (reported)
24.1
25.2
62.3
89.1
114.4
% chg
-13.5
4.5
147.4
43.1
28.4
(% of Net Sales)
2.2
1.5
2.9
3.6
3.8
Basic & Fully Diluted EPS (Rs)
7.7
8.0
19.8
28.3
36.4
% chg
-13.5
4.5
147.4
43.1
28.4
February 16, 2019
3
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Balance Sheet
Y/E March (` cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019E FY2020E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital
21.7
23.8
31.4
31.4
31.4
Reserves& Surplus
240.9
311.1
861.3
936.5
1,033.0
Shareholders Funds
262.6
334.9
892.8
968.0
1,064.5
Minority Interest
-
-
-
-
-
Total Loans
326.6
344.9
105.5
100.0
100.0
Other Liab & Prov
80.8
46.8
64.4
75.7
91.9
Total Liabilities
670.0
726.6
1,062.7
1,143.7
1,256.4
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Net Block
536.1
577.5
739.8
789.8
839.8
Capital Work-in-Progress
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Investments
-
-
5.7
55.7
105.7
Current Assets
533.6
650.4
964.0
1,081.6
1,259.7
Inventories
225.8
267.7
395.6
411.0
498.9
Sundry Debtors
247.9
310.4
378.6
411.0
498.9
Cash
18.4
34.7
133.8
176.3
161.5
Loans & Advances
40.6
37.1
28.3
50.0
60.7
Other Assets
1.0
0.5
27.6
33.1
39.8
Current liabilities
445.0
560.0
665.8
782.3
949.5
Net Current Assets
88.6
90.4
298.2
299.2
310.2
Other Non Current Asset
45.3
58.6
19.1
19.1
20.8
Total Assets
670.0
726.6
1,062.7
1,143.7
1,256.4
February 16, 2019
4
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Cashflow Statement
Y/E March (`cr)
FY2016
FY2017
FY2018
FY2019E FY2020E
Profit before tax
32.7
38.4
89.4
127.9
164.2
Depreciation
30.9
39.7
49.0
51.2
54.3
Change in Working Capital
42.9
(23.3)
(67.7)
(13.7)
(84.8)
Interest / Dividend (Net)
-
-
-
-
-
Direct taxes paid
(10.5)
(9.0)
(27.1)
(38.8)
(49.8)
Others
(56.2)
(52.7)
(38.8)
(5.4)
9.1
Cash Flow from Operations
152.2
98.5
82.4
132.1
74.8
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Fixed Assets
(101.2)
(82.0)
(162.2)
(50.0)
(50.0)
(Inc.)/ Dec. in Investments
1.4
0.8
-
-
-
Cash Flow from Investing
(83.9)
(89.7)
(162.2)
(50.0)
(50.0)
Issue of Equity
-
50.0
505.3
-
-
Inc./(Dec.) in loans
150.6
46.4
(239.4)
(5.5)
-
Others
218.5
97.6
63.6
32.8
39.6
Cash Flow from Financing
(67.9)
(1.2)
202.3
(38.3)
(39.6)
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash
0.4
7.6
122.5
43.8
(14.8)
Opening Cash balances
2.0
2.4
10.0
132.5
176.3
Closing Cash balances
2.4
10.0
132.5
176.3
161.5
February 16, 2019
5
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Key Ratio
Y/E March
FY16
FY17
FY18E FY19E FY20E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS)
83.1
79.5
32.1
22.5
17.5
P/CEPS
18.8
16.8
8.2
6.0
4.8
P/BV
7.6
6.0
2.2
2.1
1.9
Dividend yield (%)
-
-
-
-
EV/Sales
2.1
1.4
0.9
0.7
0.6
EV/EBITDA
20.0
17.5
10.4
9.6
7.8
EV / Total Assets
3.4
3.1
1.8
1.6
1.4
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic)
7.7
8.0
19.8
28.3
36.4
EPS (fully diluted)
7.7
8.0
19.8
28.3
36.4
Cash EPS
33.9
37.9
77.9
105.4
131.7
Book Value
83.5
106.5
283.9
307.8
338.5
Returns (%)
ROCE
14.1
13.3
13.5
12.8
14.9
Angel ROIC (Pre-tax)
13.7
13.9
15.9
16.3
19.0
ROE
9.2
7.5
7.0
9.2
10.8
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block)
2.3
2.9
3.8
4.1
4.6
Inventory / Sales (days)
76
59
68
60
60
Receivables (days)
83
69
65
60
60
Payables (days)
95
99
98
98
98
Working capital cycle (ex-cash) (days)
64
29
35
22
22
Source: Company, Angel Research
February 16, 2019
6
Amber Enterprises India| 3QFY2019 Result Update
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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accessing /dealing in securities Market. Angel or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed
public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
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Disclosure of Interest Statement
Amber Enterprises India
1. Financial interest of research analyst or Angel or his Associate or his relative
No
2. Ownership of 1% or more of the stock by research analyst or Angel or associates or relatives
No
3. Served as an officer, director or employee of the company covered under Research
No
4. Broking relationship with company covered under Research
No
Ratings (Returns):
Buy (> 15%)
Accumulate (5% to 15%)
Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to -15%)
Sell (< -15%)
February 16, 2019
7